The Global Security research cluster analyzes the relationships between geopolitical conflict, armed insurgencies, and conflict economies. Using strategic foresight and field-based research, the Lab examines how shifts in global power can trigger complex conflicts that, in turn, reshape entire economies. This research aims to anticipate emerging risks, inform policy responses, and deepen understanding of the evolving global threat landscape.

Focus Areas

  • Book cover titled 'Jihad & Co. Black Markets and Islamist Power' by Aisha Ahmad, featuring a green rifle silhouette with a red magazine on a black background.

    Complex Insurgencies

    Fieldwork-driven insights on modern asymmetric warfare and enduring insurgencies in multiple conflict zones, tracked over two decades.

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  • A colorful decorated truck passing through a historic stone gate with a flag flying above on a clear day, with mountains visible in the background.

    War Economies

    Field-based research examining how complex war economies form at the intersection of military occupation, insurgency, and organized crime.

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  • An abstract painting of the flags of the United States, China, Russia, and Ukraine, divided by white borders.

    Geopolitical Risk

    Assessing geopolitical risk through strategic foresight, scenario analysis, and early warning of emerging regional and global crises.

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